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When other unanalysed effects would dominate. It works fine if everything else can be assumed equal. However usually everything else is not equal, that is there tends to be other meaningful properties other than that one that is apparent or understood.

If one could arrive at a proof that the population is really homogenous in respect to unanalysed properties then slighter effects could be focused on. But there is a big difference between the population appearing homogenous because you can't analyse it sufficently and it actually being homogenous.






When other unanalysed effects would dominate.

But unless the odds are exactly 1:0 unanalyzed effects would always dominate and often with some effort it may be possible to account for them. For instance, according to the calculation you made above it is still possible for a scout to discover an Efe superstar after working all his life at a fraction of a minimum wage. Would he be an –ist for refusing this option?
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melian
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