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I think what the individual politicians are thinking is not important - the supreme leader calls all the shots.

The fact on the ground is that Iran has preferred to suffer under crippling sanctions, rather than let the West verify that its nuclear program is peaceful. To me this is a pretty clear proof that they are after the bomb.






I think what the individual politicians are thinking is not important - the supreme leader calls all the shots.
That's a naive conception of politics.
Countries aren't ruled by single people. The person on the top has advisors.

If you think that the opinions of the head of the Irani military or the Irani secret services don't matter, you are likely misreading Iran. The clerics need the approval of them to rule.

Mubarak was dictator of Egypt and lost power because the military wasn't willing to put down protests. Iran's clerics need the miltiary to have power to prevent possible revolutions.

Khomeini doesn't even sit at the negotating table. Khomeini is old. He likely isn't alive in 10 years.

The fact on the ground is that Iran has preferred to suffer under crippling sanctions, rather than let the West verify that its nuclear program is peaceful
Politically it's just not possible to appear to lose to the West and simply allow everything to be investigated without getting something in return.

A person negotiating such an agreement would lose in influence. The space of actions of leaders who want to stay in power in politically unstable dictatorship isn't that big. They always have to look out for what their supporters want or they will get putsched away.
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ChristianKl
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