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Let's suppose that there is some immense benefit to the nation from pedophilic marriages, overpowering the social benefit of having children grow up that were not sexually abused (I DO NOT believe that this actually is the case), then according to your model, the public would soon believe that those relationships are good. However, I see zero chance of that.

I don't believe it either, however, I don't think the chances of pedophilia becoming accepted using the same top-down methods as homosexual marriage, e.g., judicial fiat, intimidation of amyone who disagrees, etc. In fact, the first steps are already visible.
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The main reason to be against pedophilia is that getting sexually abused is a very big downside and relationships between adults and children are very asymmetrical.

However your doubt is based on that you don't believe the possibility of a comparable upside. It doesn't address the mechanism. For example most people would think that if there were only 2 humans left having the homo sapience line continue is a greater good than avoiding sex between siblings. Also implications with false assumptions are treated in a truthtable treatment to be true. assuming ~a, a->b and observing that ~b is not contradictory a->b still holds.

We are not positiong on what would the upside be based upon so we really can't even address it's probability. However we can be quite certain that such relationships would still have drawbacks.

When we go into hypothetical realms where things are allowed to wary wildly the terms precise definition becomes sensitive. If the standards on enforcing no rape on spouses are heightened allowing minors into marriages doesn't neccesarily lead into forced sex.

There are traditions on earth where peoples marriages are planned very early by their parents. But this doesn't neccesarily lead into cohabitation very early even if the commitment would be hard to reverse or legally unreversable.
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